Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

· 4 min read
Profitable Parlays - Fact Or Fiction?

There are countless 'handicapping services' available of providing people who have parlays. They'll tout win rates similar to some of the most impressive straight wager cappers. Needless to say, so as to they make reference to money line parlays as 'safe' bets. On many of these sites you may even have the privilege of dealing with some form of royalty in the field of parlay wagering. Regrettably, thousands will be fooled by this fiction again this football season.

The truth is that exotic wagers keep sports books in business. Next time you are in Vegas check out the discarded tickets you see spread everywhere. It's safe to assume that you will find nearly all these losers are made of such bets placed on both sports and racing. Of all the sucker bets open to sports bettors, the parlay is king. Bettors are lured in by the promise of an enormous payout while disregarding the truth that there is no reasonable expectation of any return on investment.

The home edge on a typical straight wager at -110 is 4.5%. Weighed against many table games this is really a fairly raised percentage. A great deal of table games and slots offer a better value for the average bettor placing a random wager. However, everybody knows that betting on sports isn't anything like throwing some dice at the back wall.

Chance plays a role in everything the house provides. Additionally, there are steps that can be taken to reduce the edge in just about every game. Nowhere in  nha cai five88  are elements such as skill and preparation more useful compared to the sports book. The edge on a straight wager could be reversed in the bettors favor through the use of statistics and expertise in an activity. However, a double digit house edge can't ever be overcome in the long run.

# of Teams | Actual Odds | Typical Payout | House Edge

2 | 3/1 | 2.6/1 | 10.00%

3 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 12.50%

4 | 15/1 | 10/1 | 31.25%

5 | 31/1 | 20/1 | 34.38%

6 | 63/1 | 40/1 | 35.94%


7 | 127/1 | 75/1 | 40.63%

8 | 255/1 | 150/1 | 41.02%

9 | 511/1 | 300/1 | 41.21%

10 | 1023/1 | 700/1 | 31.54%

As you can plainly see every parlay you can possibly bet includes a whopping 10% house edge or better. Such casino advantages tend to be more consistent with keno, plus they are equally impossible to overcome over time. There is no mystery surrounding the planet of parlays. Bettors are attracted to risking handful of money for large payouts. The games which are most often played in the casino are slots that offer thousands and even millions in progressive jackpots. The mentality of the bettors is 'Go big, or go back home.' The casino is clearly happy to oblige as millions of bettors go back home with nothing in their pockets every year.

It is fair to assume that the biggest amount of losing bets that a book accepts are exotic wagers of equal to or double the home minimum. It is because most bettors don't have a meaningful bankroll reserve for sports betting. Since they don't believe they can make any real cash by placing $25-50 on several games per week they continue taking parlays for $20 or less. Using this method they essentially ensure a significant loss by the finish of the growing season. Meanwhile, if they only placed straight wagers at that same level they might limit their potential losses to some units at most.

Many bettors assume that because they're keeping the size of their bets low they're not taking on a substantial risk. This analysis is flawed since it ignores several factors. Most of all, it really is my experience that most bettors usually do not place just one parlay weekly. In football this means at the least 34 parlays are placed during the regular season. In baseball that number can simply exceed 100. With a minimal unit bet this is still a dangerous number of wagers to put with such a high house edge. For instance, for anyone who is placing only 5 team parlays your expectation ought to be to lose about $35 for each $100 you wager. As the amount of bets you place increases it is inevitable that you will hit that $100 mark many times over.

Using parlays as a side bet will usually result in upping your losses or erasing any profits you were able to make on straight wagers. In '09 2009, I had litigant who broke even with increasing his bankroll by 45% using my picks. He were able to do that by placing 'small' side bets including parlays, reverses, and teasers. That is an expensive lesson to learn especially when you take into account I issued an identical warning to him.

If you are likely to follow his lead and continue using parlays I've a few pointers that will help you in the long term. First of all, the very best value of all parlays is actually the three team parlay. The difference between the house edge on a 2 & 3 teamer is insignificant, but the payout is a lot more than twice as much. Invest the a glance at the graph you need to understand why I'd never bet a parlay of 4 teams or more. However, if you're going to make such an investment listed below are two useful tips:

If you are likely to bet a 4 or 5 5 team parlay, always make it 6 as well as 10. The difference between the house edge to add one or two 2 more teams is within 5 percentage points and the payout is significantly higher for both options. The house edge on a 10 teamer is virtually the same as a 4 team parlay, but the actual probability of hitting it are over 1,000 to 1 1.
If you are likely to throw your cash away chasing huge payouts on 7, 8, and 9 team parlays then just bet the 10 teamer. The House edge is about 10 points less than all three of these bets also it typically pays about 700/1.

Setting reasonable goals and being patient while attempting to achieve them is the sign of a profitable professional bettor. Greed must be kept in check to become successful. In this regard, every bettor has two options. You can chase high returns while assuming plenty of unnecessary risk. Or it is possible to minimize your contact with a few units while maintaining an acceptable expectation to increase your bankroll by 50%...The choice is yours.